Dr Mark Quigley is a Senior Lecturer in Active Tectonics in the Department of Geological Sciences at the University of Canterbury. His peer-reviewed publications pertaining to the Canterbury earthquakes can be obtained from www.drquigs.com
Earthquake forecasts and earthquake predictions
1 November 2011
Earth scientists can forecast the size and frequency of the aftershocks following Canterbury's September 2010 earthquake. But this is very different from earthquake prediction. This article is based on a presentation to the 2011 NZ Skeptics Conference.